The University of Ibadan Committee on COVID-19 Data Analysis and Management has predicted that by Friday, April 3, the number of Coronavirus cases in Nigeria will be at least 312.
The UI team made their prediction from the current trend of confirmed cases. In a graphical report shared by UI’s Deputy Vice-Chancellor, Research, Innovation and Strategic Partnership, Prof. Olanike Adeyemo, on her Facebook wall, the team said that the number will hit 312 by Friday if the trend continues.
The graphical report “shows the rate at which the infection is being transmitted among those who were exposed to COVID-19.”
“Approximately 70.4 per cent of those people currently infected with COVID-19 were initially exposed to the disease on day 12 of the occurrence of the disease in Nigeria.
“The predictive model is an indication that the disease will continue to be on the increase in the days ahead and that time, in days, accounted for 89.0 per cent of the variation in the cumulative confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Nigeria.
“If the current trend continues, the number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 is expected to be at least 312 by 3rd April, 2020.”
There are 97 cases confirmed in Nigeria as at 10:40 on Saturday, March 28, according to the report by NCDC.
